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Coinpaper 2026-05-13 15:44:05

Bitcoin Price Falls Below $80K as Hot PPI Report Pushes Fed Rate Hike Odds Above 30%

Bitcoin price has fallen below the $80,000 level after the April U.S. Producer Price Index report showed stronger-than-expected price pressure, adding fresh pressure to crypto markets already reacting to a hot CPI reading. The BTC price dropped to around $79,700 after the data release, slipping below a level traders had treated as near-term support. The decline followed a brief period of stability above $80,000 after Bitcoin recovered from earlier weakness linked to inflation and Federal Reserve policy concerns. Source: X The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that annual PPI rose to 6.0% in April, above the market forecast of 4.9%. Monthly PPI increased 1.4%, far above expectations for a 0.5% rise. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 1% month over month in April, the largest monthly increase since March 2022. That was above forecasts for a 0.3% increase and followed an upwardly revised 0.2% rise in March. The report came one day after U.S. CPI inflation rose to 3.8%, also above expectations. Together, the two inflation reports weakened hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 and pushed traders toward a more defensive stance across risk assets. PPI Data Adds Pressure After Hot CPI The April PPI report showed that upstream price pressure remains elevated. Energy costs were a key driver, with higher fuel and transportation expenses tied to the ongoing Iran conflict and bottlenecks around the Strait of Hormuz. Producer price inflation matters because higher costs for businesses can later pass through to consumer prices. That makes the report important for Federal Reserve policy expectations, especially when CPI data is already moving in the wrong direction. Before this week’s inflation data, markets had already reduced expectations for rate cuts. After the CPI and PPI releases, traders fully priced out remaining rate-cut hopes for 2026. Market pricing also moved toward a higher chance of a rate hike, with odds rising above 30% for a possible increase by December. Higher rates usually weigh on crypto because they make cash, money-market funds, and government bonds more attractive compared with risk assets. Bitcoin often reacts quickly to changes in expected liquidity conditions. Bitcoin Derivatives Traders Cut Risk According to Cryptoquant, the Bitcoin price drop also triggered a sharp reduction in derivatives exposure. Across Binance, Gate.io, Bybit, and OKX, Bitcoin open interest fell by about $1.25 billion after the inflation shock. Gate.io saw the largest decline, with open interest dropping by roughly $578 million. Binance followed with a decline of about $473 million. Concurrently, Bybit and OKX recorded smaller reductions of about $123 million and $75 million. Source: CryptoQuant A broad drop in open interest across several exchanges shows that traders reduced leveraged exposure after the macro data. This can happen through liquidations, short covering, voluntary position cuts, or broader de-risking. The move does not automatically confirm a long-term bearish trend. However, it shows that leveraged traders reacted quickly to the new inflation data and reduced risk while Bitcoin moved below $80,000. Crypto liquidations also increased after the PPI release. More than $63 million in crypto positions were wiped out within hours, reflecting how fast the market adjusted to the inflation surprise. BTC Spot Buying Offers Some Support Despite the drop below $80,000, some spot-market data remains more constructive. Coinbase spot volume delta has turned sharply positive over the past two weeks, showing renewed buy-side activity as Bitcoin moved back into the low-$80,000 range. The shift contrasts with much of the first quarter, when Coinbase spot activity showed persistent sell pressure. More recent buying has appeared through repeated spot-flow impulses rather than a single isolated spike. This suggests that some U.S.-based and institutional buyers have returned, especially as ETF inflows improved. If spot buying continues, it may help absorb selling pressure near current levels. Source: Glassnode Positioning on Hyperliquid also shows traders leaning more long-term than earlier in the year. Net BTC positioning has risen over recent weeks as Bitcoin recovered from the low-$60,000 range. The long bias now sits near its strongest level since late 2025. That positioning reflects improving speculative demand, but it also raises short-term risk. When long exposure becomes crowded, the market can become more sensitive to liquidation-driven pullbacks. Bitcoin now needs to reclaim and hold the $80,000 area to restore near-term confidence. A stronger move back above $82,000 could ease pressure, while failure to recover may keep attention on lower support zones as traders reassess inflation, Fed policy, and liquidity conditions.

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